HUFFPOLLSTER: Obama’s Approval Rating Continues To Climb Post-Election

President Obama’s approval rating is higher than any point in his second term. Expectations for Donald Trump’s presidency are mixed. And it shouldn’t come as a surprise that white women voted Republican. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, November 15, 2016. OBAMA’S APPROVAL RATING AT HIGHEST POINT SINCE 2009 – President Barack Obama’s approval rating, which rose steadily throughout the 2016 campaign after spending much of his second term in the red, is continuing to tick up in the election’s aftermath, new polling shows. According to Gallup’s most recent measure, Obama’s approval is at 57 percent, with only 40 percent disapproving. The most recent Politico/Morning Consult poll has his approval at 50 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. Both polls were completed after last Tuesday’s election. Obama is averaging 52.5 percent approval in the HuffPost Pollster chart, his highest approval rating since August of 2009. Gallup’s historical data show that it’s not unusual for outgoing presidents to get a bump in their ratings: Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton both experienced ratings bumps in their final year in office. Even George H.W. Bush, who was defeated in November of 1992, saw his approval ratings rise to over 50 percent in the final months of his presidency. The one recent exception is George W. Bush, whose approval stayed well below 40 percent despite a small final ratings bump in late 2008. [Gallup, Politico/Morning Consult, Approval chart, Gallup historical data] AMERICANS HAVE MIXED EXPECTATIONS FOR TRUMP’S PRESIDENCY – Gary J. Gates: “Six in 10 Americans say President-elect Donald Trump’s administration will be able to reduce unemployment and create new jobs (62%) and improve the economy (60%). On the other hand, about one in three believe he will improve race relations (35%) and improve the environment (35%), and 38% think he will keep the nation out of war….After presidential elections, Americans are typically positive about the prospect of an improved economy ― and this year is no different, with large majorities expressing optimism about the economy and job growth….The 39% who expect Trump to be able to heal political divisions is similar to the 41% recorded in 2001 after George W. Bush’s election, but lower than the 54% who believed this of Obama in 2008, before his first term…. The 38% of Americans who think the Trump administration can avoid war is sharply lower than the 70% and 60%, respectively, who thought George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton would keep the nation out of war….Few Americans think Trump can avoid war. This suggests that despite Trump’s election victory, the skepticism his critics created during the campaign remains.” [Gallup] WHITE WOMEN ARE VOTING REPUBLICAN CONSISTENTLY – Jane Junn: “In the wake of Donald Trump’s election as President of the United States, one piece of data from voter exit polls has been particularly surprising for Clinton supporters: 53% of white women voted for Trump compared with 43% for Hillary Clinton…. Defined as the difference between the proportion of women (55%) and men (45%) supporting the Democratic candidate, the […]

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